Bernard Tomic vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 5 sets to Nishikori's 6. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Wimbledon (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 12/27 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Bernard Tomic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Aug 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 8, 2016
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2015
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 22/23 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 35% | 8/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +24.6% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.91u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 11 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Kaichi Uchida | W 63 62 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–58 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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