Bernard Tomic vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2015; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tomic leads 2–1. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 5 sets to Nishikori's 6. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Wimbledon (2018).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 18/31 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 13/27 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2018
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Aug 12, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 8, 2016
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2015
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | +25.8% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 1,788 mi · 2,877 km | — |
| Route | MEX → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 0%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Kaichi Uchida | W 63 62 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edward Winter
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karen Khachanov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Final
Jul 20
Spencer Johnson
Lincoln Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James McCabe
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–55 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 57% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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