Bernard Tomic vs Kasidit SamrejPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Zhangjiagang Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 2 · 2:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.32 or shorter, Bernard Tomic has won 20 of 23 matches, 87% against a fair-price expectation of 77%.
Priced around 2.96 or longer, Kasidit Samrej has won 3 of 20 matches, 15% against a fair-price expectation of 26%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Kasidit Samrej meets Bernard Tomic in the 2nd Round of the Zhangjiajiang Challenger on hard court on September 2. Samrej, ranked 486th, has played six matches in the last two weeks and arrives on a one-match winning streak. Tomic sits at 179th and comes in off a two-match streak after a quieter recent schedule.
The two have never faced each other. Samrej has won four of his last five matches but compiled a 5-10 record over his previous ten outings. Tomic has been sharper of late, winning nine of his last ten and four of his last five; his one loss in that span came against Hayato Matsuoka, who also defeated Samrej.
Both players operate as hard hitters who look to dictate from the baseline. On hard court, Tomic holds a 65% win rate from his recent sample while Samrej sits at 60%. Samrej's heavy schedule in the past fortnight will test his recovery; Tomic's consistency and extended run of form shape what this match demands of each player.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Samrej | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Kasidit Samrej | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 17/31 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 28% | 20/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 13/27 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 13/27 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 90% | 36/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 17/29 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Samrej
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Bernard Tomic and Kasidit Samrej are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,716 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Tomic and Samrej have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Samrej | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Kasidit Samrej | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +34.8% | -25.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.57u | -4.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 7,991 mi · 12,861 km | — |
| Route | USA → CHN | KAZ → TPE → CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Samrej has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tomic's 40%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 61 60 | W 61 76 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 67 67 | L 64 57 57 |
| Tsung-Hao Huang | W 63 61 | W 61 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 36 67 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Masamichi Imamura
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Edward Winter
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karen Khachanov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger · Final
Jul 20
Spencer Johnson
Lincoln Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Hiroki Moriya
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Kai-I Wang
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yuki Mochizuki
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hyeon Chung
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Sergey Fomin
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Kokoro Isomura
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–73 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |