Benoit Paire vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Benoit Paire and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 9 times since 2016; Benoit Paire leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Estoril in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Paire leads 3–2. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Busta has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paire has taken 11 sets to Busta's 11. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paire | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Benoit Paire | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 57% | 23/40 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 1/4 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 47% | 18/38 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 1/4 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 0% | 0/1 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paire 2, Carreno Busta 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paire
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Sep 16, 2019
Chengdu
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 17, 2019
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 31, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 12, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 64
Apr 12, 2018
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 32
May 8, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 30, 2016
Estoril
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paire | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paire | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Open Quimper Bretagne Occidentale · Round of 32
Jan 27
Viktor Durasovic
Soma Bay Open · Round of 32
Jan 19
Adrien Gobat
Rennes · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Mae Malige
Cassis · Round of 32
Sep 3
Matteo Martineau
Troyes · Round of 32
Jul 1
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Royan · Round of 32
Jun 17
Francesco Maestrelli
Francavilla al Mare · Quarterfinals
May 9
Timofey Skatov
Francavilla al Mare · Round of 16
May 8
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–65 matches
| Metric | Paire | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 65% |
| Sets won | 11% | 60% |
| Games won | 36% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paire | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paire | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.