Ben Shelton vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBen Shelton
#4 Β· 23 yrs Β· L
2 meetings Β· sets 4β1

π§π·Joao Fonseca
#29 Β· 20 yrs Β· R
4wBen Shelton and Joao Fonseca have met 2 times since 2026; Ben Shelton leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at BMW Open - Munich in 2026 on clay. Shelton has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shelton has taken 4 sets to Fonseca's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ben Shelton won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shelton | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ben Shelton | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 16/32 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 10/18 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 52% | 26/50 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 14/40 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 22/39 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 16/30 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shelton 1, Fonseca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shelton
π€ Servebot
Fonseca
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 10, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Apr 17, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shelton | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ben Shelton | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β6 | 4β1 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +9.9% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | CHN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Shelton's 50%).
| Opponent | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 75 46 36 | L 46 36 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 36 67 75 26 | L 57 76 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 67 61 63 16 76 | L 46 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 76 67 63 64 | W 57 64 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 36 64 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 46 | W 76 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 57 46 | W 76 64 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 46 76 67 | W 36 46 63 61 62 |
| Gabriel Diallo | W 64 64 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Daniel Altmaier
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 2
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York Β· Final
Sep 13
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 11
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Stefanos Tsitsipas
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 Β· Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 38β65 matches
| Metric | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 63% |
| Sets won | 61% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shelton | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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