Aziz Dougaz vs Damir DzumhurPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 13 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.25 or longer, Aziz Dougaz has won 20 of 58 (34%). That is level with the 34% the price implied.
At 1.57 or shorter, Damir Dzumhur has won 80 of 114 (70%). The price implied 65%, so Damir Dzumhur has beaten it by 5 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Damir Dzumhur meets Aziz Dougaz in the first round of the Olbia Challenger on October 13 on hard court. Dzumhur, ranked 103rd, arrives after three matches in the past two weeks and carries a one-match losing streak. Dougaz, ranked 430th, has not faced Dzumhur before and comes in off a six-day break.
Dzumhur has managed one win in his last five matches and two wins in ten. Dougaz has won six of his last ten and four of his last five, holding a 75% record on hard court over a recent sample. The two have no history against each other.
Dzumhur operates as a counterpuncher, thriving off his opponent's pace rather than dictating play. Dougaz brings a complete skill set across the court and has shown comfort on hard surfaces. The match will test whether Dzumhur's reactive style can disrupt Dougaz's rhythm, or if Dougaz's consistency will overwhelm a tired opponent playing his third match in a fortnight.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dougaz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aziz Dougaz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 32% | 9/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 18/49 | 38% | 20/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 19/35 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 4/15 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 29/31 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dougaz
👑 The Complete Package
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aziz Dougaz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Dougaz and Dzumhur have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dougaz | Dzumhur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aziz Dougaz | Damir Dzumhur | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dougaz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | 2.69 |
| ROI % | +10.3% | -6.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.95u | -0.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dougaz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Dzumhur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dougaz's 0%).
| Opponent | Dougaz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | L 36 64 46 | W 67 62 76 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 36 36 | W 61 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Lorenzo Sonego
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Reiya Komagata
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Cesar Bouchelaghem
M15 Monastir · Final
Sep 6
Jorge Plans
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Sep 5
Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Edison Ambarzumjan
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Daniele Augenti
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Dougaz | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 44% |
| Sets won | 64% | 45% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |