Axel Nefve vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Axel Nefve and Karl Poling have met 1 time since 2026; Karl Poling leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nefve has taken 0 sets to Poling's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nefve | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Axel Nefve | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 45% | 30/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 7/15 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 55% | 18/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nefve 0, Poling 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nefve
🪃 Counterpuncher
Poling
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 14, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nefve | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Axel Nefve | Karl Poling | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 2.64 |
| ROI % | +1.4% | -16.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.10u | -2.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nefve has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Poling's 25%).
| Opponent | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Fredrik Krogh Solheim | W 64 61 | L 57 46 |
| Henry Searle | L 26 46 | W 76 36 63 |
| Joshua Sheehy | W 36 62 64 | L 67 67 |
| Benjamin Thomas George | L 60 16 36 | L 57 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alec Beckley
M25 Kigali · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Joshua Peck
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Sebastian Gorzny
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Alexander Petrov
M25 East Lansing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Fredrik Krogh Solheim
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Cruz Hewitt
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–67 matches
| Metric | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 48% |
| Sets won | 46% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nefve | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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