August Holmgren vs Henrique RochaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
August Holmgren and Henrique Rocha have met 1 time since 2026; Henrique Rocha leads 1–0. Across all meetings Holmgren has taken 0 sets to Rocha's 2. Their most recent meeting: Henrique Rocha won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Holmgren | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | August Holmgren | Henrique Rocha | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 24/62 | 33% | 22/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 10/28 | 45% | 21/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 17/30 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 88% | 36/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 20/32 | 73% | 30/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Holmgren 0, Rocha 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Rocha
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 900 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Holmgren | Rocha | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | August Holmgren | Henrique Rocha | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -28.8% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.45u | -1.77u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Holmgren and Rocha posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Martinez | L 62 67 57 | L 57 57 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 36 26 | L 75 67 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 60 76 | W 61 62 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 67 | W 62 46 62 |
| Leandro Riedi | W | L 46 26 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Renta Tokuda | W 63 36 63 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · Final
Oct 4
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Mili Poljicak
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Cezar Cretu
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Carlos Taberner
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–67 matches
| Metric | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 60% |
| Sets won | 49% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Holmgren | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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