Arthur Cazaux vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Cazaux and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Malaga Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Cazaux has taken 4 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Arthur Cazaux won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cazaux | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Cazaux | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 10/22 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 8/13 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 13/15 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cazaux 0, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cazaux
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 10, 2023
Malaga Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.29 |
| ROI % | - | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Cazaux and Busta posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 63 36 75 | W 64 46 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 62 46 | L 57 64 62 67 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 62 | W 62 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 20
Jacob Fearnley
Phoenix Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Tomas Barrios Vera
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 5
Martin Landaluce
Brisbane International presented by ANZ · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Cameron Norrie
Moselle Open - Metz · 2nd Round
Nov 4
Adrian Mannarino
Moselle Open - Metz · 1st Round
Nov 2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–65 matches
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 65% |
| Sets won | 63% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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