Arthur Cazaux vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Arthur Cazaux and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2023; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Malaga Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. Across all meetings Cazaux has taken 4 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cazaux | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Arthur Cazaux | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 1/4 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 2/10 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 6/7 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 5/7 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cazaux 0, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cazaux
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Arthur Cazaux.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 4, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 10, 2023
Malaga Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.47 |
| ROI % | - | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Cazaux and Busta posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 76 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 63 62 | W 62 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 20
Jacob Fearnley
Phoenix Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Tomas Barrios Vera
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 5
Pablo Carreno Busta
Brisbane International - Brisbane · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 4
Martin Landaluce
Brisbane International presented by ANZ · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 3
Cameron Norrie
Moselle Open - Metz · 2nd Round
Nov 4
Adrian Mannarino
Moselle Open - Metz · 1st Round
Nov 2
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–58 matches
| Metric | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 62% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cazaux | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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