Andy Murray vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andy Murray and Kei Nishikori have met 6 times since 2015; Andy Murray leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Murray leads 3–0. On hard courts Murray leads 2–1. Murray has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Murray has taken 13 sets to Nishikori's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andy Murray won at Roland Garros (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Murray | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Murray | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/5 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/6 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 42% | 5/12 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 56% | 5/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 40% | 2/5 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Murray 3, Nishikori 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Murray
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 7, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2016
Rio Olympics
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
May 8, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Murray | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andy Murray | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.70 |
| ROI % | - | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yan Cheng Chen
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Zihao Xia
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Yuquan Jin
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 10
Haoran Hu
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Chin Kuan Lai
M15 Tianjin · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Andrew Zhang
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Jun Hao Luo
M15 Wodonga 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 17
Leroy Sze
M15 Wodonga 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 15
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–21 matches
| Metric | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 17% | 52% |
| Sets won | 17% | 50% |
| Games won | 31% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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