Andy Murray vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andy Murray and Kei Nishikori have met 6 times since 2015; Andy Murray leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Murray leads 3–0. On hard courts Murray leads 2–1. Murray has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Murray has taken 13 sets to Nishikori's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andy Murray won at Roland Garros (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Murray | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Murray | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 50% | 4/8 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 50% | 7/14 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 4/9 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 80% | 4/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 2/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 86% | 6/7 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 57% | 4/7 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Murray 3, Nishikori 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Murray
⚙️ Grinder
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2017
Roland Garros
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 6, 2016
ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 7, 2016
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2016
Rio Olympics
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 13, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Semifinals
May 8, 2015
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.62 |
| ROI % | - | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexei Popyrin
London / Queen's Club · Round of 32
Jun 18
Marcos Giron
Stuttgart · Round of 32
Jun 11
Stan Wawrinka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Yannick Hanfmann
Geneva · Round of 32
May 20
Gregoire Barrere
Bordeaux · Round of 16
May 16
Tomas Machac
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 32
Mar 24
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 64
Mar 22
Matteo Berrettini
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 128
Mar 20
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–14 matches
| Metric | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 54% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Murray | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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