Andy Andrade vs Natan RodriguesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
πͺπ¨Andy Andrade
#243 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
32 meetings Β· sets 4β0
π§π·Natan Rodrigues
#845 Β· 24 yrs Β· R
11wAndy Andrade and Natan Rodrigues have met 2 times since 2025; Andy Andrade leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at M25 Salvador 1 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Andrade leads 2β0. Andrade has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Andrade has taken 4 sets to Rodrigues's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andy Andrade won at Metepec Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andrade | Rodrigues | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Andrade | Natan Rodrigues | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 16% | 3/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 19/71 | 18% | 7/40 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 100% | 20/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andrade 2, Rodrigues 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Andrade
βοΈ The Gladiator
Rodrigues
π‘οΈ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The βοΈ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs π‘οΈ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andy Andrade.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 19, 2026
Metepec Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3, 2025
M25 Salvador 1
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β7 | 0β1 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 4.32 |
| ROI % | +17.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.22u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 10 | β |
| Distance | 1,617 mi Β· 2,602 km | β |
| Route | USA β JAM | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Andrade has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Rodrigues's 29%).
| Opponent | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Ilagan | L 36 46 | W 64 61 |
| Braden Shick | L 26 36 | L 46 16 |
| Jose Pereira | W 60 60 | L 46 06 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | W 62 63 | L 57 57 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 61 61 | W 62 26 76 |
| Facundo Mena | W 63 61 | L 16 76 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aidan Mayo
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· Final
Aug 30
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 28
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Edward Winter
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 19
Liam Draxl
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Jack Pinnington Jones
Brownsburg Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
CIT Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Millen Hurrion
M25 Nottingham Β· 1st Round
May 6
Finn Murgett
M25 Nottingham Β· 1st Round
Apr 29
Jose Pereira
Copa Internacional de Tenis Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Franco Ribero
SΓ£o LΓ©o Open de TΓͺnis Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Andres Urrea
KIA Open Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Andy Andrade
Metepec Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Feb 19
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 40β71 matches
| Metric | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 53% |
| Sets won | 61% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Andrade | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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