Andy Andrade vs Mariano KestelboimPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andy Andrade and Mariano Kestelboim have met 2 times since 2024; Mariano Kestelboim leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Santo Domingo in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Kestelboim leads 2–0. Kestelboim has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Andrade has taken 2 sets to Kestelboim's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mariano Kestelboim won at Lima 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Andrade | Kestelboim | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andy Andrade | Mariano Kestelboim | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 35/45 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 19/71 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 40/45 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Andrade 0, Kestelboim 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Andrade
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kestelboim
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Andy Andrade and Mariano Kestelboim are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 3, 2025
Lima 2
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 12, 2024
Santo Domingo
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 3.26 |
| ROI % | +17.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.22u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 1,617 mi · 2,602 km | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andrade has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Kestelboim's 50%).
| Opponent | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Sebastian Gomez | W 62 63 | W 75 57 64 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 46 06 | L 46 36 |
| Facundo Mena | W 63 61 | L 46 46 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 36 26 | W 26 63 63 |
| David Jorda Sanchis | W 76 36 62 | L 36 26 |
| Sebastian Gima | W 61 62 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aidan Mayo
Kingston 2 Challenger · Final
Aug 30
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Max Purcell
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Edward Winter
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Liam Draxl
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jack Pinnington Jones
Brownsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Iliyan Radulov
Open Sopra Steria de Lyon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Sumit Nagal
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Matias Soto
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Juan Pablo Varillas
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 17
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 17
Facundo Mena
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Mateus Alves
Dove Men+Care Concepción · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Nicolas Kicker
Lima 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–71 matches
| Metric | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 47% |
| Sets won | 61% | 44% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Andrade | Kestelboim |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.