Andrey Chepelev vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Chepelev and Lorenzo Carboni have met 2 times since 2026; Andrey Chepelev leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Chepelev leads 2–0. Chepelev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chepelev has taken 4 sets to Carboni's 1. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Chepelev won at M25 Lausanne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chepelev | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Chepelev | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 58/77 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 14/37 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 33/114 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 41/66 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 64/74 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 58/74 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chepelev 1, Carboni 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chepelev
⚔️ The Gladiator
Carboni
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Chepelev.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2026
M25 Lausanne
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 9, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chepelev | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Chepelev | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 20/24 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 6/24 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 3/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–9 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -69.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.38u | -4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SRB → SUI | BUL → ITA → SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chepelev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Carboni's 50%).
| Opponent | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Sabanov | W 64 62 | W 62 61 |
| Daniel Michalski | L 64 36 06 | L 06 36 |
| Tiago Pereira | W 46 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Francesco Forti | L 64 26 36 | L 75 67 16 |
| Manuel Mazza | L 63 26 46 | W 62 61 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 26 62 61 | L 62 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Tymur Bieldiugin
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Luca Parenti
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luca Staeheli
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Stefan Horia Haita
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · Semifinals
Aug 15
Bor Artnak
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Aleksandar Tolev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniel Michalski
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–114 matches
| Metric | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 49% |
| Sets won | 64% | 49% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chepelev | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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