Andrew Fenty vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrew Fenty and Karl Poling have met 2 times since 2025; Andrew Fenty leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Lincoln in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Fenty leads 2–0. Fenty has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Fenty has taken 4 sets to Poling's 0. Their most recent meeting: Andrew Fenty won at Cary challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fenty | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrew Fenty | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 32/41 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 19/68 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 25/40 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 14/22 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 32/41 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fenty 2, Poling 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fenty
🪃 Counterpuncher
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrew Fenty.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 28, 2026
Cary challenger
H Hard
Oct 13, 2025
Lincoln
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fenty | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrew Fenty | Karl Poling | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 5 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +15.4% | +71.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.31u | +13.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,617 mi · 2,602 km | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fenty has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Poling's 30%).
| Opponent | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Victor Tosetto | W 62 63 | L 57 46 |
| Blaise Bicknell | W 63 67 64 | W 75 75 |
| Olaf Pieczkowski | W 62 61 | W 61 26 63 |
| Miguel Tobon | L 26 16 | L 76 26 67 |
| Karlis Ozolins | L 62 67 36 | L 46 26 |
| Joshua Sheehy | W 64 46 63 | L 67 67 |
| Garrett Johns | L 16 46 | L 26 67 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Daniel Masur | L 46 63 46 | L 16 36 |
| Raphael Perot | L 46 16 | L 57 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Keshav Chopra
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lloyd Harris
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Masamichi Imamura
Cary challenger
Jun 29
Karl Poling
Cary challenger
Jun 28
Gavin Young
Futures 2026
Jun 20
Gavin Young
M25 Tulsa · Semifinals
Jun 20
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–69 matches
| Metric | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fenty | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.