Andres Urrea vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andres Urrea and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2024; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Urrea has taken 0 sets to Nakagawa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at Knoxville (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Urrea | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andres Urrea | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 2/6 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 52% | 12/23 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Urrea 0, Nakagawa 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Urrea
⚔️ The Gladiator
Nakagawa
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 3, 2024
Knoxville
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Urrea | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 6.26 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Urrea | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Guilleme
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Federico Zeballos
Quito challenger
Jun 28
Juan Sebastian Gomez
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
May 1
Mario Andre Galarraga
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Preston Brown
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Apr 28
Natan Rodrigues
KIA Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Naoki Nakagawa
Knoxville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 3
Ignacio Carou
Cali · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–36 matches
| Metric | Urrea | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 33% | 53% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 45% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Urrea | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Urrea | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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