Andrea Vavassori vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Andrea Vavassori
#604 · 31 yrs · R
25w32 meetings · sets 2–2

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wAndrea Vavassori and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 2 times since 2017; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Cortina in 2017 on clay. Across all meetings Vavassori has taken 2 sets to Baena's 2. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Vavassori won at Open Occitanie (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vavassori | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Vavassori | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 2/10 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 6/8 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vavassori 1, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vavassori
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrea Vavassori.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 1, 2026
Open Occitanie
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 13, 2017
Cortina
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Vavassori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pol Martin Tiffon
Rome Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 24
Laslo Djere
Rome Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Maxim Mrva
Rome Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Ugo Blanchet
Open Occitanie - Montpellier · 1st Round
Feb 3
Hugo Grenier
Open Occitanie · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 2
Roberto Carballes Baena
Open Occitanie · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1
Aleksandar Vukic
Adelaide International - Adelaide · 2nd Round
Jan 14
Gabriel Diallo
Adelaide International - Adelaide · 1st Round
Jan 13
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–46 matches
| Metric | Vavassori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 52% |
| Sets won | 68% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vavassori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vavassori | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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