Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Guerrieri and Joel Schwaerzler have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Schwaerzler leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Schwaerzler's 3. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 40/62 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 27/87 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 26/50 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 22/31 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 49/50 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 40/50 | 55% | 17/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 0, Schwaerzler 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 9, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 86% | 18/21 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 57% | 12/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 12–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +21.4% | -2.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.00u | -0.59u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 1,324 mi · 2,131 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | BUL → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Schwaerzler posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Aziz Dougaz | W 62 64 | W 76 36 76 |
| Martin Krumich | L 46 46 | L 26 36 |
| Federico Bondioli | W 76 62 | L 63 36 57 |
| David Goffin | W 36 75 62 | W 46 63 64 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 63 75 | L 16 62 67 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | W 76 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 64 63 | W 67 63 61 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 36 26 | W 61 64 |
| Dominic Stricker | L 46 46 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Jack Pinnington Jones
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Felix Balshaw
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Lucas Poullain
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Harry Wendelken
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Maxime Chazal
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–88 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 54% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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