Andrea Guerrieri vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Guerrieri
#187 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
3w1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฆ๐นJoel Schwaerzler
#171 ยท 20 yrs ยท L
TitleAndrea Guerrieri and Joel Schwaerzler have met 1 time since 2026; Joel Schwaerzler leads 1โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Schwaerzler leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 0 sets to Schwaerzler's 2. Their most recent meeting: Joel Schwaerzler won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 42/58 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 5/22 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 21/80 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 28/47 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 17/26 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 47/47 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 42/47 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 0, Schwaerzler 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
๐ช Counterpuncher
Schwaerzler
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ5 | 6โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.94 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | +20.1% | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.02u | -2.74u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 6,345 mi ยท 10,212 km |
| Route | POL | POL โ USA โ JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Schwaerzler posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Krumich | L 46 46 | L 26 36 |
| Federico Bondioli | W 76 62 | L 63 36 57 |
| David Goffin | W 36 75 62 | W 46 63 64 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 63 75 | L 16 62 67 |
| Enrico Dalla Valle | W 76 64 | W 63 36 63 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 64 63 | W 67 63 61 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 36 26 | W 61 64 |
| Dominic Stricker | L 46 46 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Final
Aug 9
Daniil Glinka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 8
Michele Ribecai
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Viktor Durasovic
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Olle Wallin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Federico Agustin Gomez
Umag
Jul 12
Luca Nardi
Umag
Jul 11
Hugo Dellien
Trieste Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ80 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 53% |
| Sets won | 67% | 51% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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