Andrea Guerrieri vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Guerrieri and Francesco Maestrelli have met 1 time since 2026; Andrea Guerrieri leads 1–0. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Maestrelli's 1. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at St. Tropez Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 40/62 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 27/87 | 39% | 22/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 26/50 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 22/31 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 49/50 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 40/50 | 56% | 14/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 0, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 21, 2026
St. Tropez Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +21.4% | -36.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.00u | -4.80u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 523 mi · 841 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Maestrelli posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 36 63 64 | L 06 62 16 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 63 75 | W 64 63 |
| Mattia Bellucci | L 36 46 | L 16 16 |
| Marko Topo | W 64 64 | W 63 36 61 |
| Justin Engel | L 36 63 67 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Oliver Tarvet
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Arthur Nagel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alafia Ayeni
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–88 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 45% |
| Sets won | 63% | 45% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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