Andrea Guerrieri vs August HolmgrenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrea Guerrieri and August Holmgren have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 2 sets to Holmgren's 3. Their most recent meeting: August Holmgren won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Holmgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | August Holmgren | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 40/62 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 27/87 | 39% | 24/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 26/50 | 36% | 10/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 22/31 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 98% | 49/50 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 40/50 | 63% | 20/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 0, Holmgren 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
🪃 Counterpuncher
Holmgren
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward August Holmgren.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Holmgren | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | August Holmgren | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +21.4% | -28.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.00u | -3.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Guerrieri and Holmgren posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 36 36 | L 46 57 |
| Alastair Gray | W 64 64 | W 64 75 |
| Guy Den Ouden | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
August Holmgren
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Anton Matusevich
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Jesper de Jong
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Francesco Maestrelli
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Andrea Guerrieri
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Andrea Guerrieri
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Braden Shick
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–88 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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