Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Yosuke Watanuki have met 2 times since 2026; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Cary Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–0. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 1 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 15/34 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 29/77 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 25/39 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 19/43 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 29/43 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Watanuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
💥 Big Hitter
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andre Ilagan and Yosuke Watanuki are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +24.1% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.81u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 7,868 mi · 12,663 km | — |
| Route | USA → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ilagan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watanuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Marat Sharipov | W 62 76 | L 76 57 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Matthew Dellavedova
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tristan Boyer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–77 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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