Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Yosuke Watanuki have met 2 times since 2026; Yosuke Watanuki leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Cary Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 2–0. Watanuki has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 1 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 28/70 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 21/33 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Watanuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 20, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.06u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ilagan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watanuki's 50%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Noguchi | W 75 36 63 | L 46 57 |
| Kaylan Bigun | W 46 64 63 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Colton Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Liam Broady
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rio Noguchi
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Karl Poling
Tyler Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–70 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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