Andre Ilagan vs Yi ZhouPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 23 · 1:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.61 or shorter, Yi Zhou has won 17 of 25 (68%). The price implied 65%, so Yi Zhou has beaten it by 3 points.
At 2.23 or longer, Andre Ilagan has won 15 of 41 (37%). That is level with the 35% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Andre Ilagan and Yi Zhou meet in the Guangzhou Challenger quarterfinals on October 23, a hard court matchup between two ranked outside the top 200. Ilagan sits at number 203 while Zhou ranks 280. The pair have never faced each other before.
Yi Zhou arrives in form after winning four of his last five matches and holding a two-match winning streak. Ilagan has gone 2-2 over his last five and carries the same streak, though his longer 10-match sample stands at 40%. Both players took the court within the past day. Ilagan defeated Kody Pearson and Soon Woo Kwon in recent weeks while Zhou lost to both those opponents.
Ilagan relies on power from the baseline and has posted a 60% win rate on hard courts in his recent sample. Zhou operates primarily through serve and has won 45% on the surface during the same span. The match pits Ilagan's aggressive groundstroke game against Zhou's emphasis on holding serve; Ilagan must create break chances while Zhou prefers to minimize extended rallies.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Zhou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Yi Zhou | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 29/44 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 14/34 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 29/78 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 23/38 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 18/41 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 36/43 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 29/43 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
💥 Big Hitter
Zhou
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,846 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Ilagan and Zhou have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Zhou | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Yi Zhou | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 16/20 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | +26.3% | +17.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.78u | +2.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zhou has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ilagan's 40%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Koki Matsuda | L 67 26 | W 61 63 |
| Jie Cui | L 76 26 46 | W 76 64 |
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 36 76 64 | L 26 26 |
| Kody Pearson | W 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Christian Langmo | W 75 62 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Khumoun Sultanov
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Mert Alkaya
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Yosuke Watanuki
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 14
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Matthew Dellavedova
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Zhizhen Zhang
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 21
Koki Matsuda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Lorenzo Musetti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–78 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |