Andre Ilagan vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Karl Poling have met 1 time since 2026; Andre Ilagan leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 2 sets to Poling's 1. Their most recent meeting: Andre Ilagan won at Tyler Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 28/70 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 21/33 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Poling 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 407 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andre Ilagan.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 6, 2026
Tyler Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Karl Poling | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | +71.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.06u | +13.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ilagan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Poling's 33%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Dmitry Popko | W 64 64 | L 36 76 46 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 26 36 | L 57 46 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 75 76 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Colton Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Liam Broady
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rio Noguchi
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Karl Poling
Tyler Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–70 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 52% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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