Andre Ilagan vs Colton SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Colton Smith have met 3 times since 2024; Colton Smith leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Smith leads 3–0. Smith has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 1 sets to Smith's 6. Their most recent meeting: Colton Smith won at Lincoln Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Colton Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 28/70 | 32% | 15/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 41% | 13/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 21/33 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 15/35 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 31/39 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Smith 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Smith
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Colton Smith.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2026
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
May 30, 2026
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 29, 2024
Charlottesville Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Colton Smith | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -0.6% | -35.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.06u | -3.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 161 mi · 259 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Ilagan's 50%).
| Opponent | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Zheng | L 36 67 | L 46 64 26 36 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 62 16 26 | W 62 75 |
| Cannon Kingsley | W 62 64 | W 36 76 64 |
| Christian Langmo | W 75 62 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Colton Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Liam Broady
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rio Noguchi
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Karl Poling
Tyler Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
J.J. Wolf
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Bu Yunchaokete
Lincoln Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Hayato Matsuoka
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andre Ilagan
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Borna Gojo
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–70 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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