Andre Ilagan vs Bryce NakashimaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andre Ilagan and Bryce Nakashima have met 1 time since 2026; Bryce Nakashima leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ilagan has taken 1 sets to Nakashima's 2. Their most recent meeting: Bryce Nakashima won at Tiburon Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ilagan | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andre Ilagan | Bryce Nakashima | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 15/34 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 29/77 | 19% | 6/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 86% | 12/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 25/39 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 19/43 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 29/43 | 90% | 18/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ilagan 0, Nakashima 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ilagan
💥 Big Hitter
Nakashima
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Andre Ilagan and Bryce Nakashima are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Tiburon Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ilagan | Nakashima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andre Ilagan | Bryce Nakashima | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.49 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +24.1% | +20.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.81u | +3.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,868 mi · 12,663 km | 2,109 mi · 3,394 km |
| Route | USA → CHN | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Ilagan and Nakashima posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Johnson | L 64 64 | L 46 36 |
| Connor Plunkett | W 63 64 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Matthew Dellavedova
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Bryce Nakashima
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tristan Boyer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Keegan Smith
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jack Kennedy
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Timo Legout
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Andre Ilagan
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Quinn Vandecasteele
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Kaylan Bigun
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign · Final
Aug 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–77 matches
| Metric | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ilagan | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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