Anastasija Sevastova vs Ayla AksuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇱🇻Anastasija Sevastova
#589 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
38w2 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇸Ayla Aksu
#200 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anastasija Sevastova and Ayla Aksu have met 2 times since 2018; Anastasija Sevastova leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Fed Cup G1 RR: TUR vs LAT in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Sevastova leads 2–0. Sevastova has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sevastova has taken 4 sets to Aksu's 1. Their most recent meeting: Anastasija Sevastova won at W75 Trnava 4 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sevastova | Aksu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasija Sevastova | Ayla Aksu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 25% | 1/4 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 2/4 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 63% | 5/8 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 17% | 1/6 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 3/3 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 94% | 29/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 33% | 1/3 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sevastova 1, Aksu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sevastova
🎯 Baseliner
Aksu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 385 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Anastasija Sevastova.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Nov 26, 2025
W75 Trnava 4
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 7, 2018
Fed Cup G1 RR: TUR vs LAT
H Hard · Round Robin
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.41 |
| ROI % | - | +28.7% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | BUL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aksu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sevastova's 0%).
| Opponent | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| Aliona Falei | L 46 36 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Open BLS de Limoges - Limoges · 2nd Round
Dec 11
Aliona Falei
W75 Trnava 4 · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava 4 · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Weronika Ewald
W75 Trnava · Round of 16
Nov 27
Ayla Aksu
W75 Trnava 4 · 1st Round
Nov 26
Maya Joint
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong · 1st Round
Oct 28
Jasmine Paolini
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Kimberly Birrell
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 24
Alana Smith
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Allegra Korpanec Davies
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Aug 11
Daria Snigur
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sofia Costoulas
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 20
Vendula Valdmannova
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 14
Anna Kubareva
W50 Palma Del Rio · Quarterfinals
Jun 26
Celia Cervino Ruiz
W50 Palma Del Rio · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Esther Lopez Alcaraz
W50 Palma Del Rio · 1st Round
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–60 matches
| Metric | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 58% |
| Sets won | 48% | 57% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
| BJK Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sevastova | Aksu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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