Alibek Kachmazov vs Fajing SunPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alibek Kachmazov and Fajing Sun have met 2 times since 2023; Alibek Kachmazov leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen 2 Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Kachmazov leads 2–0. Kachmazov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kachmazov has taken 4 sets to Sun's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alibek Kachmazov won at Guangzhou Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuning 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.34 or longer, Fajing Sun has won 14 of 46 (30%). The price implied 33%, so Fajing Sun has fallen 3 points short of it.
At 1.56 or shorter, Alibek Kachmazov has won 46 of 61 (75%). The price implied 67%, so Alibek Kachmazov has beaten it by 8 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alibek Kachmazov and Fajing Sun meet next at the Wuning 3 Challenger on October 9 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kachmazov | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alibek Kachmazov | Fajing Sun | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 24/29 | 68% | 25/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 5/8 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 34% | 23/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 24/36 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 26/28 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kachmazov 2, Sun 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kachmazov
👑 The Complete Package
Sun
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 378 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2025
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 16, 2023
Shenzhen 2 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kachmazov | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alibek Kachmazov | Fajing Sun | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 3/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.28 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | +6.6% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | -1.77u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,078 mi · 1,735 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Kachmazov and Sun posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Chase Ferguson | W 63 63 | L 46 64 26 |
| Semen Pankin | W 61 62 | W 46 76 63 |
| Maan Kesarwani | L 36 57 | W 62 61 |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | L 60 46 26 | L 76 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Charles Broom
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Grigoriy Lomakin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yan Cheng Chen
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Final
Sep 27
Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Sheng Tang
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Chase Ferguson
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kasidit Samrej
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Aoran Wang
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Bernard Tomic
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Bernard Tomic
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Matthew Dellavedova
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Alexis Galarneau
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–68 matches
| Metric | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 54% |
| Sets won | 75% | 53% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kachmazov | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |