Alibek Kachmazov vs Chase FergusonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alibek Kachmazov and Chase Ferguson have met 1 time since 2026; Alibek Kachmazov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kachmazov has taken 2 sets to Ferguson's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alibek Kachmazov won at M25 Yinchuan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kachmazov | Ferguson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alibek Kachmazov | Chase Ferguson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 26/31 | 56% | 25/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 5/8 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | 37% | 27/73 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 26/38 | 42% | 14/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 28/30 | 95% | 39/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 61% | 25/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kachmazov 1, Ferguson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kachmazov
👑 The Complete Package
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alibek Kachmazov.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 24, 2026
M25 Yinchuan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kachmazov | Ferguson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alibek Kachmazov | Chase Ferguson | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 77% | 17/22 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 19/20 | 41% | 9/22 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 17/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 8/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 4/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–3 | 13–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.31 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +11.1% | -3.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.33u | -0.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kachmazov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ferguson's 60%).
| Opponent | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 76 63 | L 36 16 |
| Fajing Sun | W 63 64 | W 64 46 62 |
| Sheng Tang | W 76 62 | W 63 64 |
| Yunseong Chung | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Maan Kesarwani | L 36 57 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Fajing Sun
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Charles Broom
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Grigoriy Lomakin
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yan Cheng Chen
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Final
Sep 27
Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–73 matches
| Metric | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 62% |
| Sets won | 76% | 56% |
| Games won | 60% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kachmazov | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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