Alexis Galarneau vs Fajing SunPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 14 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.03 or longer, Fajing Sun has won 7 of 28 (25%). That is level with the 25% the price implied.
At 1.32 or shorter, Alexis Galarneau has won 35 of 42 (83%). The price implied 75%, so Alexis Galarneau has beaten it by 8 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Alexis Galarneau meets Fajing Sun in the first round of the Guangzhou Challenger on September 15, a hard court event that marks the first meeting between the two players. Galarneau, ranked 176th, has played three matches in the past two weeks. Sun, at 324th, has competed four times in that span after a six-day break.
Galarneau has won 3 of his last 5 matches but dropped his most recent outing. Sun sits on a two-match losing streak and has converted only 2 of 5 recent contests. On hard courts over a broader sample, Galarneau owns a 50% record while Sun stands at 40%. The two have faced common opponents with mixed results: Galarneau beat Rio Noguchi while Sun lost to him, yet both fell to Jie Cui and Pavel Kotov.
Galarneau operates as a baseline player who relies on sustained rallies and depth from the back of the court. Sun plays as a frontrunner, meaning he thrives when dictating points from the baseline or pressing forward but can struggle when forced into reactive positions. Whether Galarneau maintains baseline control long enough to wear Sun down, or whether Sun's aggressive tendencies force the pace and put Galarneau in a defensive posture, will determine the character of the match.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Galarneau | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexis Galarneau | Fajing Sun | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 29/69 | 31% | 20/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 15/39 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 22/29 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 16/28 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 77% | 23/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galarneau
🎯 Baseliner
Sun
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 300 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Galarneau and Sun have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galarneau | Sun | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexis Galarneau | Fajing Sun | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.09 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -40.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | -5.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galarneau | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,812 mi · 12,573 km | 70 mi · 113 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Galarneau has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Sun's 33%).
| Opponent | Galarneau | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Pavel Kotov | L 63 16 16 | L 67 63 36 |
| Jie Cui | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Semen Pankin | W 76 64 | W 46 76 63 |
| Mees Rottgering | L 36 64 36 | L 46 46 |
| Kaichi Uchida | W 62 61 | W 64 62 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 63 62 | L 36 67 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 64 62 | L 67 64 67 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 76 67 | L 63 57 46 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 76 64 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Linang Xiao
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Semen Pankin
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Keegan Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dino Prizmic
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Vit Kopriva
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Jie Cui
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Hanyi Liu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Semen Pankin
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Zangar Nurlanuly
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–69 matches
| Metric | Galarneau | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 51% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |