Head-to-Head

Alexis Galarneau vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇦Alexis Galarneau

#179 · 27 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇸🇪Elias Ymer

#190 · 30 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Chengdu Open - Chengdu
Level: ATP 250
Round: 1st Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: September 21 · 1:00 AM ET

Book odds

Elias Ymer2.58

Alexis Galarneau1.43

Set spread

Ymer -1.54.38

Galarneau +1.51.17

Game spread

Ymer +31.83

Galarneau -31.85

YmerHard-court specialist (56%)GalarneauHard-court specialist (79%)

Record at prices like this

Elias Ymer2.58implies 31%won 24%−7 pts

At 2.58 or longer, Elias Ymer has won 15 of 62 (24%). The price implied 31%, so Elias Ymer has fallen 7 points short of it.

Alexis Galarneau1.43implies 69%won 73%+4 pts

At 1.43 or shorter, Alexis Galarneau has won 56 of 77 (73%). The price implied 69%, so Alexis Galarneau has beaten it by 4 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Alexis Galarneau and Elias Ymer meet next at the Chengdu Open - Chengdu on September 21 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Galarneau	Ymer
Indicator	Alexis Galarneau		Elias Ymer
Wins in straight sets	60%	24/40	55%	16/29
Wins a set when losing	44%	14/32	33%	8/24
Goes to a deciding set	42%	30/72	40%	21/53
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	39%	16/41	43%	9/21
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	73%	22/30	52%	15/29
Tiebreak sets won	57%	16/28	63%	17/27
Wins after taking set 1	89%	32/36	93%	25/27
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	67%	24/36	59%	16/27

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Galarneau

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Ymer

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,213 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Galarneau and Ymer have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Galarneau	Ymer
Outcome	Alexis Galarneau		Elias Ymer
1 or more	100%	16/16	100%	10/10
3 or more	63%	10/16	90%	9/10
5 or more	25%	4/16	60%	6/10
10 or more	6%	1/16	10%	1/10
15 or more	6%	1/16	0%	0/10
20 or more	0%	0/16	0%	0/10

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Galarneau	Ymer
W-L	8–8	4–7
Avg odds	2.01	1.97
ROI %	-7.6%	-47.7%
Units P/L	-1.22u	-5.25u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Galarneau	Ymer
Countries	2	2
Events	3	4
Matches	6	7
Distance	8,121 mi · 13,070 km	8,159 mi · 13,131 km
Route	USA → CHN	USA → CHN

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 9 shared opponents, both Galarneau and Ymer posted a 44% win rate.

Opponent	Galarneau	Ymer
Semen Pankin	W 76 64	W 57 75 63
Pavel Kotov	L 63 16 16	L 63 36 67
Yu Hsiou Hsu	W 46 64 64	L
Jacob Fearnley	L 26 36	W 62 62
Federico Cina	L 75 26 57	L 36 57
Kaichi Uchida	W 62 61	W 64 46 63
Henry Searle	L 57 63 16	L 67 67
Marc-Andrea Huesler	L 46 75 67	W 75 57 64
Pierre-Hugues Herbert	W 64 64	L 46 63 36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Galarneau

LLWWLWLW

Fajing Sun

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 15

Pavel Kotov

Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals

Sep 11

Linang Xiao

Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 9

Semen Pankin

Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round

76⁵

Sep 7

Dalibor Svrcina

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

6³7

Aug 26

Keegan Smith

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

76⁴

Aug 25

Jacob Fearnley

Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 21

Dino Prizmic

Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 20

Ymer

LWWLLLWL

Marat Sharipov

Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals

6⁴7

Sep 18

Luca Castelnuovo

Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round

76⁶

Sep 16

Semen Pankin

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 14

Pavel Kotov

Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round

6⁹7

Sep 8

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 1

Cristian Garin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

6⁵7

Aug 26

Franco Roncadelli

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 24

Daniil Glinka

Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 19

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–72 matches

Metric	Galarneau	Ymer
Matches won	56%	54%
Sets won	54%	51%
Games won	50%	50%