Alexandre Muller vs Pedro SousaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Pedro Sousa have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2018 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Muller has taken 4 sets to Sousa's 4. Their most recent meeting: Pedro Sousa won at Oeiras 3 (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Sousa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Pedro Sousa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 8/14 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 5/25 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 11/39 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 5/17 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 2, Sousa 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Sousa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 20, 2023
Oeiras 3
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 26, 2020
Marbella
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 8, 2018
Pullach
C Clay · Round of 32
Jun 7, 2018
Lyon
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 3.80 | - |
| ROI % | -58.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.70u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 5,829 mi · 9,381 km | — |
| Route | SMR → GER → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Stefano Napolitano
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Sousa
Lisbon · Round of 16
Oct 5
Titouan Droguet
Lisbon · Round of 32
Oct 3
Ulises Blanch
Oeiras 4 · Round of 32
May 16
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Oeiras 3 · Semifinals
Apr 22
Steven Diez
Oeiras 3 · Quarterfinals
Apr 22
Alexandre Muller
Oeiras 3 · Round of 16
Apr 20
Henrique Rocha
Oeiras 3 · Round of 32
Apr 18
Luca Van Assche
Estoril · Round of 32
Apr 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Muller | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | - |
| Sets won | 37% | - |
| Games won | 45% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Sousa |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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