Head-to-Head

Alexandre Muller vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇫🇷Alexandre Muller

#135 · 29 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇫🇷Luka Pavlovic

#201 · 26 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Chengdu Open - Chengdu
Level: ATP 250
Round: 1st Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: September 21 · 1:00 AM ET

Book odds

Alexandre Muller1.64

Luka Pavlovic2.15

Set spread

Muller -1.52.54

Pavlovic +1.51.45

Game spread

Muller -1.51.79

Pavlovic +1.51.90

MullerHard-court specialist (52%)PavlovicClay-court specialist (73%)

Record at prices like this

Alexandre Muller1.64implies 63%won 63%level

At 1.64 or shorter, Alexandre Muller has won 71 of 112 (63%). That is level with the 63% the price implied.

Luka Pavlovic2.15implies 34%won 49%+15 pts

At 2.15 or longer, Luka Pavlovic has won 17 of 35 (49%). The price implied 34%, so Luka Pavlovic has beaten it by 15 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Alexandre Muller and Luka Pavlovic meet next at the Chengdu Open - Chengdu on September 21 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Muller	Pavlovic
Indicator	Alexandre Muller		Luka Pavlovic
Wins in straight sets	63%	10/16	54%	14/26
Wins a set when losing	19%	5/27	36%	9/25
Goes to a deciding set	26%	11/43	41%	21/51
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	33%	6/18	30%	6/20
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	36%	8/22	66%	19/29
Tiebreak sets won	53%	9/17	56%	14/25
Wins after taking set 1	80%	12/15	81%	21/26
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	67%	10/15	54%	14/26

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Muller

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Pavlovic

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 784 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Luka Pavlovic.

Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Muller and Pavlovic have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Muller	Pavlovic
Outcome	Alexandre Muller		Luka Pavlovic
1 or more	92%	11/12	100%	15/15
3 or more	67%	8/12	100%	15/15
5 or more	42%	5/12	73%	11/15
10 or more	0%	0/12	47%	7/15
15 or more	0%	0/12	20%	3/15
20 or more	0%	0/12	7%	1/15

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Muller	Pavlovic
W-L	4–8	8–8
Avg odds	3.21	2.00
ROI %	-42.2%	-22.8%
Units P/L	-5.06u	-3.64u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Muller	Pavlovic
Countries	2	2
Events	2	2
Matches	4	4
Distance	3,938 mi · 6,337 km	8,866 mi · 14,269 km
Route	USA → ESP	USA → VIE

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Pavlovic's 25%).

Opponent	Muller	Pavlovic
Stefano Napolitano	W 62 64	L 36 46
Botic van de Zandschulp	L 57 36	L 67 36
Vit Kopriva	W 63 76	L 36 46
Hamad Medjedovic	L 26 26	W 76 36 76

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Muller

LWLWLLLW

Felix Balshaw

Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 3

Ziga Sesko

Manacor Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 2

Rei Sakamoto

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Laslo Djere

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 25

Chak Pong Marco Lam

Cancun Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 19

Guy Den Ouden

Hagen Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 3

Mili Poljicak

San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals

6³7

76⁴

Jul 31

Marco Cecchinato

San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 29

Pavlovic

LWLWLLWW

Hunter Heck

Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁶7

Sep 16

Ha Minh Duc Vu

Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 15

Jacob Fearnley

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

76⁴

Aug 26

Juan Pablo Varillas

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

6³7

Aug 24

Felipe Meligeni Alves

Cancun Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6²7

6¹7

Aug 17

Vilius Gaubas

San Marino Challenger · 1st Round

Jul 28

Matteo Martineau

Segovia Challenger · Final

Jul 26

Keegan Smith

Segovia Challenger · Semifinals

76³

Jul 25

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–52 matches

Metric	Muller	Pavlovic
Matches won	39%	50%
Sets won	38%	48%
Games won	45%	49%