Alexandre Muller vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Luca Nardi have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Barletta Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Nardi leads 2–1. Muller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 6 sets to Nardi's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 0, Nardi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 307 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
May 26, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 12, 2022
Barletta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Muller and Nardi posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Noguchi | W 63 46 61 | W 62 63 |
| Federico Cina | W 76 61 | L |
| Otto Virtanen | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | L 46 16 | W 64 62 |
| Yibing Wu | L 36 46 | L 57 64 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Federico Cina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andrea Guerrieri
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–50 matches
| Metric | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 45% |
| Sets won | 41% | 51% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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