Alexandre Muller vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Jan Choinski have met 3 times since 2022; Alexandre Muller leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Muller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 5 sets to Choinski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/27 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 11/43 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 6/18 | 45% | 20/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 8/22 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 12/15 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 10/15 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
⚙️ Grinder
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 710 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2023
Koblenz Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 96% | 22/23 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 17% | 4/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 17–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.21 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -42.2% | +5.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.06u | +1.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,484 mi · 8,826 km | 2,195 mi · 3,532 km |
| Route | MEX → USA → ESP | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Choinski's 40%).
| Opponent | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 36 16 67 |
| Laslo Djere | W 75 60 | L 67 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 63 75 62 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | W 16 62 62 |
| Federico Cina | W 62 63 | L 16 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ziga Sesko
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Laslo Djere
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Guy Den Ouden
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–79 matches
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 62% |
| Sets won | 38% | 57% |
| Games won | 45% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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