Alexandre Muller vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Jan Choinski have met 3 times since 2022; Alexandre Muller leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Muller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Muller has taken 5 sets to Choinski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2023
Koblenz Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2022
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muller | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandre Muller | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | -2.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Muller and Choinski posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | W 76 61 | L 16 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 36 16 67 |
| Laslo Djere | W 75 60 | L 67 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 76 | W 63 75 62 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 26 63 36 76 76 | W 16 62 62 |
| Marcos Giron | L 26 26 | W 75 67 76 |
| Yibing Wu | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–68 matches
| Metric | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 59% |
| Sets won | 41% | 55% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.