Alexandre Muller vs Jakub PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexandre Muller and Jakub Paul have met 1 time since 2026; Alexandre Muller leads 1–0. Across all meetings Muller has taken 2 sets to Paul's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexandre Muller won at Naples Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandre Muller | Jakub Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 13/20 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 4/27 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 8/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muller 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muller
🎯 Baseliner
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexandre Muller.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 24, 2026
Naples Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–9 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.53 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | +86.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.96u | +2.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 8 | — |
| Distance | 1,033 mi · 1,662 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Muller and Paul posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano Napolitano | W 62 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Rio Noguchi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Moise Kouame
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Petr Bar Biryukov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luka Pavlovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Niels McDonald
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Svyatoslav Gulin
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Valencia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 12
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–50 matches
| Metric | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 50% |
| Sets won | 41% | 48% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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