Alexandra Eala vs Dayana YastremskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇭Alexandra Eala
#18 · 21 yrs · Left-Handed
Title42 meetings · sets 4–1
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#112 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3Alexandra Eala and Dayana Yastremska have met 2 times since 2025; Alexandra Eala leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2025 on grass. Eala has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Eala has taken 4 sets to Yastremska's 1. Their most recent meeting: Alexandra Eala won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Eala | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexandra Eala | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 32/48 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 26/75 | 36% | 14/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 21/42 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 39/48 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 32/48 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Eala 1, Yastremska 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Eala
🏹 Frontrunner
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 26, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Eala | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexandra Eala | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| 1 or more | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 8/25 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 5 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–6 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +51.4% | -51.6% |
| Units P/L | +12.85u | -4.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,304 mi · 2,098 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Eala has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Yastremska's 20%).
| Opponent | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | L 46 16 | L 62 36 67 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 26 76 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 46 64 60 | L 75 26 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 62 76 | W 61 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 46 64 36 | L 57 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 75 64 | L 46 76 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 57 | L 46 46 |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 36 36 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Belinda Bencic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Naomi Osaka
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elina Svitolina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Leylah Fernandez
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–75 matches
| Metric | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 44% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Eala | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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