Alexander Zverev vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Kei Nishikori have met 6 times since 2017; Alexander Zverev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2017 on hard. On clay courts Zverev leads 3–1. On hard courts Zverev leads 2–0. Zverev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 12 sets to Nishikori's 4. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at French Open - Paris (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 2, Nishikori 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 6, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 5, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 3, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 18, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 5, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 9,183 mi · 14,779 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → GBR → CHN | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nishikori's 20%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu | W 64 76 | L 36 63 16 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 60 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 61 63 | L 36 26 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 46 62 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 21–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 52% |
| Sets won | 72% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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