Alexander Donski vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Donski and Takuya Kumasaka have met 1 time since 2026; Alexander Donski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Donski has taken 2 sets to Kumasaka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Donski won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Donski | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Donski | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 9/20 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 6/10 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Donski 1, Kumasaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Donski
🤖 Servebot
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Donski.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Donski | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Donski | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–3 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +66.5% | -31.9% |
| Units P/L | +7.98u | -4.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,135 mi · 3,436 km |
| Route | POL | POL → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Donski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kumasaka's 67%).
| Opponent | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Naoya Honda | W 26 63 64 | L 16 63 67 |
| Akira Santillan | W 75 75 | W 63 00 |
| S D Prajwal Dev | W 63 75 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Glinka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Alejandro Moro Canas
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Takuya Kumasaka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Alexey Vatutin
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Jiri Cizek
Iasi challenger
Jul 6
Erik Grevelius
Iasi challenger
Jul 5
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Pavel Lagutin
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–62 matches
| Metric | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 53% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Donski | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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