Alexander Binda vs Bernard TomicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Binda and Bernard Tomic have met 1 time since 2026; Bernard Tomic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Binda has taken 0 sets to Tomic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Bernard Tomic won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Binda | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Binda | Bernard Tomic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 33/46 | 58% | 19/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 11/34 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 24/80 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 25/39 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 18/38 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Binda 0, Tomic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Binda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Bernard Tomic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 18, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Binda | Tomic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Binda | Bernard Tomic | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 96% | 22/23 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 35% | 8/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 17–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.60 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.55u | +5.91u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 11 |
| Distance | 542 mi · 872 km | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tomic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Binda's 50%).
| Opponent | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 16 06 | L 46 64 26 |
| Fajing Sun | W 46 76 64 | W 64 67 63 |
| Varun Dhandhukia | W 61 60 | W 61 60 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 26 67 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Jingshan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Sidharth Rawat
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Yinchuan · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jesse Flores
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nikolai Barsukov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Yunseong Chung
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Fajing Sun
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–80 matches
| Metric | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 57% |
| Sets won | 56% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Binda | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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