Alex Rybakov vs Tung-Lin WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Tung-Lin Wu have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Tallahassee Challenger in 2023 on clay. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 2 sets to Wu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Alex Rybakov won at Newport Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 15/25 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 20/41 | 28% | 17/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 79% | 33/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Wu 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🏹 Frontrunner
Wu
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Newport Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 18, 2023
Tallahassee Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakov | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Rybakov | Tung-Lin Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | -37.6% | -26.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | -1.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Rybakov's 0%).
| Opponent | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hiroki Moriya | L | W 62 62 |
| Alex Bolt | L 75 26 46 | L 64 46 67 |
| Christian Langmo | L 67 36 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matthew Forbes
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Karue Sell
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Ryan Seggerman
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Dan Martin
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Oliver Bonding
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Max Dahlin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 20
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alexander Binda
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Fajing Sun
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–60 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 62% |
| Sets won | 46% | 64% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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