Alex Rybakov vs Andre IlaganPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Rybakov and Andre Ilagan have met 3 times since 2025; Andre Ilagan leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cary Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakov has taken 3 sets to Ilagan's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andre Ilagan won at Newport challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakov | Ilagan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Rybakov | Andre Ilagan | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 18/45 | 40% | 28/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 10/21 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 64% | 21/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 79% | 31/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 64% | 25/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakov 1, Ilagan 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakov
🎾 All-Court
Ilagan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Rybakov.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Newport challenger
G Grass
Sep 27, 2025
Las Vegas Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 1, 2025
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakov | Ilagan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Rybakov | Andre Ilagan | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -0.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.79u | -0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | GBR | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ilagan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Rybakov's 33%).
| Opponent | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Tarvet | L 26 63 16 | L 63 36 67 |
| Tyler Cox | W 63 61 | L 26 36 |
| Martin Damm | W 36 76 63 | L 67 57 |
| Christian Langmo | L 67 36 | W 75 62 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 26 36 | W 16 62 63 |
| Nicolas Arseneault | L 67 36 | W 36 63 60 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 46 | L 36 63 16 |
| Moerani Bouzige | W 61 62 | W 57 64 61 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 36 36 | L 62 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Charles Broom
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Fares Zakaria
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Billy Blaydes
M25 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matthew Summers
M25 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Charlie Robertson
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Andre Ilagan
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Tung-Lin Wu
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Colton Smith
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Liam Broady
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rio Noguchi
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Karl Poling
Tyler Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 57% |
| Sets won | 47% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakov | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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