Alex Molcan vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Sebastian Ofner have met 3 times since 2021; Alex Molcan leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Rome 1 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Molcan leads 2–1. Molcan has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 5 sets to Ofner's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Molcan won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 33% | 17/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Ofner 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Ofner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 2, 2023
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 21, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.19u | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ofner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Molcan's 43%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | L 64 46 67 |
| Felix Gill | L 62 57 67 | W 64 62 |
| Murphy Cassone | W 64 46 64 | W 75 62 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | L 62 26 36 |
| Roberto Carballes Baena | W 06 63 64 | W 46 63 63 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 16 26 | W 67 63 76 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 67 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Felix Gill
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–57 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 57% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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