Alex Molcan vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2022; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–1. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 3 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alex Molcan won at BMW Open by Bitpanda (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 15/26 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 0, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Molcan and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 11, 2026
BMW Open by Bitpanda
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27, 2022
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2022
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +4.2% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | -2.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Molcan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Baena's 57%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 64 64 | L 64 36 36 |
| Francesco Forti | W 64 64 | W 36 61 64 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 26 | W 61 67 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 26 | L 46 26 |
| Hynek Barton | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 64 60 | L 46 36 |
| Michael Geerts | W 76 61 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Daniel Altmaier
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sebastian Ofner
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Valentin Royer
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Francesco Forti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–51 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 55% |
| Sets won | 63% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.