Alex Molcan vs Federico CoriaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Federico Coria have met 5 times since 2021; Federico Coria leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 3 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Coria leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Coria leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 6 sets to Coria's 7. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Federico Coria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 15/26 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 27/31 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Coria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 19, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2021
Prostejov Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 18, 2021
Oeiras 3 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Federico Coria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.91 |
| ROI % | +4.2% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.59u | -0.72u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Molcan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 62 64 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Daniel Altmaier
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Sebastian Ofner
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Semifinals
Jul 17
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Valentin Royer
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Francesco Forti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Taro Daniel
Bastad
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Oliver Bonding
Wimbledon
Jun 22
Nicolas Kicker
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–51 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 43% |
| Sets won | 63% | 42% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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