Alex Molcan vs Federico CoriaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Molcan and Federico Coria have met 5 times since 2021; Federico Coria leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 3 Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Coria leads 3–2. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Coria leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Molcan has taken 6 sets to Coria's 7. Their most recent meeting: Federico Coria won at Movistar Chile Open - Santiago (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Molcan | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Molcan | Federico Coria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 22/34 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 9% | 1/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 15/25 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 22/33 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Molcan 1, Coria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Molcan
🪃 Counterpuncher
Coria
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Molcan.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2024
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 19, 2022
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2021
Prostejov Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 18, 2021
Oeiras 3 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Molcan | Coria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Molcan | Federico Coria | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 3.57 |
| ROI % | -1.6% | -57.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.19u | -2.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Molcan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Coria's 0%).
| Opponent | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 61 61 | L 36 46 |
| Francesco Forti | W 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | W 36 61 64 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Vit Kopriva
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Lucio Ratti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Clement Chidekh
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Vitaliy Sachko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Taro Daniel
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Noah Thurner
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Guy Den Ouden
Liege Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–57 matches
| Metric | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 39% |
| Sets won | 57% | 38% |
| Games won | 53% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Molcan | Coria |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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