Alex Michelsen and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2024; Tommy Paul leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michelsen
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michelsen | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Michelsen | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michelsen | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -18.0% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | +0.81u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Michelsen's 30%).
| Opponent | Michelsen | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 16 | L 76 46 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 75 67 76 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 63 16 | W 46 64 63 |
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 26 | W 61 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 63 62 | W 64 62 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 36 36 | L 61 57 46 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 67 | L 46 36 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 57 46 | W 46 63 64 |
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Nishesh Basavareddy
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Learner Tien
Gonet Geneva Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Sebastian Baez
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Stan Wawrinka
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 13
Sebastian Ofner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Pol Martin Tiffon
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 16
Apr 30
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Final
Jun 20
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships · Semifinals
Jun 18
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–49 matches
| Metric | Michelsen | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 70% |
| Sets won | 50% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michelsen | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michelsen | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
