Alex Hernandez vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex Hernandez and Taro Daniel have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Acapulco in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Hernandez has taken 2 sets to Daniel's 3. Their most recent meeting: Alex Hernandez won at Los Cabos (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hernandez | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Hernandez | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 11/31 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 6/9 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 11/14 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hernandez 0, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hernandez
🛡️ The Spoiler
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 66% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 82 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taro Daniel.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 14, 2025
Los Cabos
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 25, 2023
Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.68 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +67.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +12.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hernandez's 0%).
| Opponent | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Coleman Wong | L 36 26 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guido Ivan Justo
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ilya Ivashka
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Quarterfinals
May 21
Naoya Honda
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 16
May 20
Yuta Kawahashi
KARNATAKA OPEN · Round of 32
May 11
Grigoriy Lomakin
S M KRISHNA MEMORIAL OPEN · Round of 32
May 9
Tibo Colson
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 16
Apr 9
Karl Poling
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–56 matches
| Metric | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 63% |
| Sets won | 49% | 60% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hernandez | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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