Alex Barrena vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทAlex Barrena
#224 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Title31 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#91 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
6wAlex Barrena and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Barrena has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Barrena | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Barrena | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 7/20 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Barrena 0, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Barrena
๐ช Counterpuncher
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Barrena | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Barrena | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15โ8 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +13.1% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.01u | -2.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 9 | โ |
| Distance | 6,915 mi ยท 11,129 km | โ |
| Route | ITA โ ARG | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Barrena's 20%).
| Opponent | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 63 75 | W 26 64 64 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 76 36 | L 67 76 67 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 06 67 | L 67 63 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 63 46 | W 63 75 62 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 46 | L 26 63 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 6
Facundo Mena
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Final
Sep 27
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valentin Garay
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Biella Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Biella Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 64โ68 matches
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 59% |
| Sets won | 49% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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