Alex Barrena vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทAlex Barrena
#233 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3TitleAlex Barrena and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Barrena has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Bonn Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Barrena | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Barrena | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 18/28 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/59 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 14/25 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 8/20 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Barrena 0, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Barrena
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Bonn Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Barrena | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Barrena | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ10 | 18โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.53u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 636 mi ยท 1,024 km | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km |
| Route | GER โ ITA | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Barrena's 14%).
| Opponent | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 76 36 | L 67 76 67 |
| Henri Squire | L 46 16 | W 67 75 75 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 06 67 | L 67 63 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 63 46 | W 63 75 62 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 46 | L 26 63 26 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 26 62 16 | W 62 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maxim Mrva
Todi Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 15
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Todi Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Georgii Kravchenko
Todi Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Henri Squire
Hagen Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Timofey Skatov
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Jan Choinski
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Johan Nikles
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Niels Visker
Tampere Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 59โ78 matches
| Metric | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 63% |
| Sets won | 47% | 58% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Barrena | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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