Alex Barrena vs Gilles Arnaud BaillyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Alex Barrena
#224 · 23 yrs · R
Title31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇧🇪Gilles Arnaud Bailly
#337 · 21 yrs · R
5wAlex Barrena and Gilles Arnaud Bailly have met 1 time since 2026; Gilles Arnaud Bailly leads 1–0. Across all meetings Barrena has taken 0 sets to Bailly's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gilles Arnaud Bailly won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Barrena | Arnaud Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Barrena | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/64 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 7/20 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Barrena 0, Arnaud Bailly 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Barrena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bailly
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alex Barrena.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
Porto Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Barrena | Bailly | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Barrena | Gilles Arnaud Bailly | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 18/24 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–9 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +8.4% | -52.5% |
| Units P/L | +2.01u | -4.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 6,915 mi · 11,129 km | — |
| Route | ITA → ARG | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Barrena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bailly's 0%).
| Opponent | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | L 36 26 | L 57 26 |
| Samuele Pieri | W 61 63 | L 26 36 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 57 61 64 | L 46 06 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 62 | L 46 26 |
| Henri Squire | L 46 16 | L 36 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Facundo Mena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valentin Garay
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Biella Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Biella Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Hugo Dellien
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Alex Barrena
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Norbert Gombos
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Raphael Perot
M25 Koksijde · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fadi Bidan
M25 Koksijde · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Mac Visser
M25 Koksijde · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–64 matches
| Metric | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Barrena | Bailly |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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