Aleksandr Shevchenko vs Miomir KecmanovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jinan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.36 or shorter, Miomir Kecmanovic has won 57 of 69 (83%). The price implied 74%, so Miomir Kecmanovic has beaten it by 9 points.
At 2.93 or longer, Aleksandr Shevchenko has won 14 of 52 (27%). That is level with the 26% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Miomir Kecmanovic and Aleksandr Shevchenko meet in the 1st Round of the Jinan Challenger on October 12 on hard court. Kecmanovic, ranked 61st, has played three matches in the past two weeks; Shevchenko sits at 111th and has competed just once in that span. The two have never played each other.
Kecmanovic has won two of his last five matches and holds a 45% record on hard courts in recent play. Shevchenko has lost his last five consecutive matches and carries a 35% hard court record over the same sample. Both players defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sho Shimabukuro recently, though Shevchenko also beat Ben Shelton and Nikoloz Basilashvili while Kecmanovic lost to both.
Kecmanovic operates from the baseline, building points through rallies and ground strokes. Shevchenko depends on his serve as his primary weapon. The match will test whether Kecmanovic's consistency and court positioning can neutralize Shevchenko's serving power, while Shevchenko must sustain aggression and limit rally length to dictate play.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 53% | 28/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 19/35 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shevchenko
🤖 Servebot
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandr Shevchenko.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Shevchenko and Kecmanovic have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Miomir Kecmanovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -45.9% | -45.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.05u | -6.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,032 mi · 1,661 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shevchenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Kecmanovic's 29%).
| Opponent | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 36 62 | W 62 64 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 64 | L 67 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 46 76 | W 63 63 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 36 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Ben Shelton | W 67 76 63 | L 75 36 46 |
| Learner Tien | L 26 75 16 06 | L 46 76 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 06 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yoshihito Nishioka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Shevchenko | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 47% |
| Sets won | 44% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |

