Aleksandr Shevchenko vs Elias YmerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aleksandr Shevchenko and Elias Ymer have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Mallorca in 2025 on grass. Across all meetings Shevchenko has taken 3 sets to Ymer's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aleksandr Shevchenko won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shevchenko | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Elias Ymer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 8/28 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 43% | 23/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 8/21 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 14/29 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 17/33 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shevchenko 0, Ymer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shevchenko
🤖 Servebot
Ymer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2025
Mallorca
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shevchenko | Ymer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandr Shevchenko | Elias Ymer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–8 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -45.9% | -55.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.05u | -7.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,032 mi · 1,661 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shevchenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Ymer's 40%).
| Opponent | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Glinka | W 63 67 61 | L 46 36 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 46 16 | W 76 63 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 64 | W 26 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 67 | L 46 36 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 36 62 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yoshihito Nishioka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Kyrian Jacquet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mattia Bellucci
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Terence Atmane
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alexis Galarneau
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Luca Castelnuovo
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Semen Pankin
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–57 matches
| Metric | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 51% |
| Sets won | 44% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shevchenko | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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