Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2025; Aleksandar Kovacevic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 2 sets to Busta's 0. Their most recent meeting: Aleksandar Kovacevic won at Montpellier (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 17/34 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 29/59 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 27/41 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 23/44 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 13/26 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 27, 2025
Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -8.5% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.11u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Kovacevic's 33%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 46 75 64 | L 36 64 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 36 16 | W 46 76 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 76 16 46 | L 36 46 |
| Luca Van Assche | W 61 76 | L 36 64 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 67 62 | L 63 57 57 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 06 46 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 76 46 06 | W 63 62 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 46 61 67 | W 46 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zachary Svajda
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Lloyd Harris
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 62% |
| Sets won | 43% | 58% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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