Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Daniel MeridaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Aleksandar Kovacevic and Daniel Merida have met 1 time since 2026; Aleksandar Kovacevic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kovacevic has taken 2 sets to Merida's 1. Their most recent meeting: Aleksandar Kovacevic won at Valencia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovacevic | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Daniel Merida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 12/23 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 56% | 19/34 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 30/57 | 39% | 23/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 7/15 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 27/39 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 17/25 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 12/25 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovacevic 0, Merida 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 13, 2026
Valencia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovacevic | Merida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aleksandar Kovacevic | Daniel Merida | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–8 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 4.13 |
| ROI % | -20.2% | -15.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kovacevic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Merida's 33%).
| Opponent | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 46 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 64 67 62 | L 46 36 62 30 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 46 | L 76 26 36 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 26 61 62 | W 75 64 |
| Marcos Giron | L 26 63 46 | L 06 16 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 61 64 | W 63 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 67 36 | L 06 76 26 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 64 76 | W 36 63 76 |
| Valentin Royer | L 64 67 36 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Luca Van Assche
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Balshaw
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Karen Khachanov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–62 matches
| Metric | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 60% |
| Sets won | 43% | 57% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovacevic | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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